Saturday, January 24, 2026

There's A National Business Model. Who's Behind It?

I've noticed a steady trickle of stories about how Somali fraud businesses in Maine seem to be emulating the same overall pattern of those in Minnesota: ICE seems to be belatedly on the case: As ICE Begins Enforcement Raids in Maine, New Allegations of Somali Fraud Emerge:

Somali-led fraud is a nationwide epidemic. Minnesota is the epicenter due to excellent reporting from Nick Shirley and the shooting of Renee Nicole Good, who was killed after she tried to ram an ICE agent in Minneapolis. But Washington State, Ohio, and Maine also have fraud issues, and now ICE is heading north

The piece quotes a New York Times story behind a paywall:

The Trump administration has started an immigration enforcement operation in Maine, targeting Somali immigrants in the state, according to two U.S. officials with knowledge of the plans.

. . . A number of asylum seekers from African countries who arrived in the United States during the Biden administration have settled in Maine, joining a Somali population that started arriving there in the early 2000s, when refugees from the country began settling in Lewiston. Yet Maine remains an overwhelmingly white state, with one of the oldest populations in the country. Some employers have begun looking to immigrants to fill labor gaps, as native-born employees have either left the work force or retired.

What we began to see piecemeal during the 2024 campaign was a vague picture of a business model -- "faith-based NGOs" identify groups of "refugees" that can be resettled en bloc into small cities in the US interior, with the connivance of slumlords, used car dealers, sweathshop employers, and local politicians. They exploit federal subsidies to maintain these groups as essentially separate economies, while swamping schools and social services, and driving up rents, insurance rates, and crime in the overall communities. This was a picture we began to see in particular with Haitians in places like Springfield, OH and Charleroi, PA in mid-2024.

There's an added factor coming into the picture in the last several months, systematic large-scale fraud. This has been appearing mostly in Somali enclaves, and we've been seeing somewhat far-fetched attempts to explain it by claiming that Somalis are somehow "tribal", which I've been saying is simply meaningless. The ancient Romans were "tribal", too.

I think the actual situation is that fraud is simply one part of the overall mass migration business model, which we're coming to understand only in bits and pieces as individual reporters like Christopher Rufo at City Journal reported on Springfield and Charleroi, and more recently Nick Shirley reported on Somalis in St Cloud, MN and the Twin Cities. Neither had the resources to do comprehensive stories on the overall problem, so that Rufo concentrated on issues like sweatshop employers and slumlords, while Shirley concentrated on fraud.

But the overall patterns of migrant abuse seem to be consistent across the US: a dozen or so "faith-based NGOs" reappear in many cases, no matter where they emerge. There's a consistent pattern of settling particular ethic groups in particular small cities, often in coordination with food industry employers. The overall schemes appear to have been enabled by the Refugee Act of 1980 and the Immigration Act of 1990, and they tend to rely on Temporary Protected Status to place migrant groups in quasi-legal situations.

And so far, at least as it involves Somalis, there's a national pattern of Medicare fraud. Now in Maine,

Federal prosecutors charged three people connected with a Lewiston company in a tax fraud case alleging publicly funded interpreter services were never delivered.

. . . In February, the U.S. attorney’s office charged three people connected to the company for allegedly billing for interpreter services that didn’t happen, court documents show. The case is the first federal prosecution since an investigator authored a 2021 report outlining a suspicious billing pattern for interpreter services, especially among providers working with the state’s Somali community, that indicated widespread fraud within the MaineCare system.

This case has so far gained little attention in part because it is being prosecuted as tax fraud, not health care fraud. But it is similar to fraud schemes alleged in a massive wave of November prosecutions centered on Minnesota’s Somali community. Those cases reignited scrutiny of Gateway among Maine conservatives that dates back to the spring.

Extravagant billing for "interpreter services" is just one of the schemes discovered by Nick Shirley in his Minnesota videos. It's likely that further investigation in Maine and elsewhere will show clones of all the Minnesota fraud schemes operating in other states, and my instinct is that such schemes aren't limited just to Somalis.

So what we're seeing is an overall business model that manifests in multiple states, coordinated by multiple "faith-based NGOs", that appears to exploit similar types of Medicare and Medicaid fraud, almost certainly extending to fraud in other social services, and likely involving similar schemes of money laundering in multiple jurisdictions. This says to me that there's an overall plan in place, and politicians at the state governor level are likely involved, not just in Minnesota, although the Minnesota scheme is likely to be the first one uncovered:

I think we're seeing just the tip of the iceberg so far, and the pattern won't be just Somalis. If cerain masterminds set things up with Gov Walz in Minnesota, what are the chances that the same people talked with Gov DeWine in Ohio? He's been a staunch supporter of the Springfield Haitians, for instance, and there are Somalis in Ohio as well. But how much do the "faith-based NGOs" know about the fraud? Are they getting kickbacks? The US Catholic Bishops really need to get ahead of this.

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