Trump And The Fallout From Dobbs

As the impact of the US Supreme Court's Dobbs decision bgegins to sink in, after a few days, people are starting to recognize that for good or ill, this was Donald Trump's doing. For instance,

To the Never Trump people: Elections matter.

. . . Because Donald J. Trump was president and because he had the courage to stick with solidly conservative jurists and because he, unlike Never Trumpers, knows how to hold the line, abortion now goes back to the people to decide.

. . . And to those who sought a perfect vessel for perfect policy, remember, politics is about wielding power and creating policy to wield that power. Sitting on a perch waiting for the perfect politician to achieve policies is a fool’s errand. All politicians are flawed, some more than others, and yet, a flawed politician can achieve good outcomes with courage.

Breitbart News provided a partial transcript of Trump's remarks at an Illinois rally on Saturday:

We have very big news. Maybe the biggest, right from the United States Supreme Court. Yesterday the Court handed down a victory for the Constitution, a victory for the rule of law, and above all, a victory for life. This breakthrough is the answer to the prayers of millions and millions of people. And these prayers have gone on for decades and decades. They’ve been praying, and now those prayers have been answered.

. . . I promised to nominate judges and justices who would stand up for the original meaning of the Constitution and who would honestly and faithfully interpret the law as written. We got almost 300 federal judges, and three great Supreme Court justices confirmed to do exactly that.

It's worth noting that although, as Trump himself points out, this was the result of a 50-year campaign by generations of people, it was Trump's instinctive willingness to go for broke in 2016 that made the final difference. But Rolling Stone, of all sources, raises questions about Trump's private views:

Republicans spent Friday celebrating the end of Roe v. Wade and praising Donald Trump for making it happen. Trump himself, multiple sources tell Rolling Stone, is far less excited.

Publicly, the former president took credit for abrogating the rights of millions of American women, putting out a statement saying Roe’s repeal was “only made possible because I delivered everything as promised, including nominating and getting three highly respected and strong Constitutionalists confirmed to the United States Supreme Court.”

The rest of the story is behnd a paywall, but this site gives a summary:

However, the report quotes an associate of the former president who said he has been "sh*tting" on the decision since an early draft was leaked weeks ago.

. . . [P]rivately, the former president is anxious about what the end of Roe, and the flood of extreme Republican state-level anti-abortion laws it will unleash, will mean for the GOP’s electoral prospects — and for his own.

On that note, the Trump insider admitted, "He keeps sh*tting all over his greatest accomplishment. When you speak to him, it’s the response of someone fearing the backlash and fearing the politics of what happens when conservatives actually get what they want [on abortion]," before adding, "I do not think he’s enjoying the moment as much as many of his supporters are, to be honest with you.”

I think Trump's problem for his 2024 prospects is that new issues have come up, most importantly the economy, but also Ukraine, and now the question of what next on abortion. He's had little to say on Ukraine, except that it wouldn't have taken place if he'd been president. He needs to be more specific, and he needs to provide a realisic plan forward, especially how to deal with Russia's seriously reduced capabilities with or without Putin.

Now he also needs to provide a consistent stance on how to proceed with the abortion issue left to the states -- after all, wasn't that going to be the predictable outcome of any decision by his court overturning Roe all along? Some states were inevitably going to be stricter than others. How can that be making him anxious?

Rolling Stone, of course, has a history of fake stories, and its "insider" here is anonymous. But if Trump doesn't begin to articulate a fuller path forward in the runup to 2024, he's going to lose out.