Wednesday, May 25, 2022

Why Is John Kirby Really Going To The White House?

According to Politico,

Not even a week into press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE’s time at the lectern, the White House brought in her Pentagon counterpart JOHN KIRBY, a runner-up for the podium, for a communications role.

. . . For about 24 hours, no one at the White House could answer whether Kirby would be working at the National Security Council or the press office and how often he would be appearing at the podium, if at all.

Several White House officials and insiders told West Wing Playbook that they felt the move put a damper on Jean-Pierre’s first week, and undercut her credibility at a moment when conservative media has targeted her.

Indeed, according to Red State,

Suddenly, we started hearing reports about a new shake-up in the Communications department at the White House — that John Kirby, the Pentagon spox, who had been considered for the Press Secretary job was going to be brought in, in a communications role, and saying that he would be doing some briefings.

. . . Not good, when it looks like you’re bringing in the white guy because you think he’ll help the situation. But as we saw during the Afghanistan debacle, Kirby was a horror. He and the Biden Administration still haven’t been held to account for lying about the number of Americans that they left behind in Afghanistan.

Regarding Afghanistan, I got the impression that Kirby, a retired admiral, understood the chain of command and was saying precisely what he'd been told to say. Indeed, the position of the Pentagon from Secretary Austin on down was that in Afghanistan, they were doing what they'd been ordered to do. This in fact seems to have been the subtext of President Biden's own remarks. Kirby was doing the absolute best he could with the cards he'd been dealt, and I can't really fault him for that.

I would say this has been Kirby on Ukraine as well. Among other thngs, he appears to have been acutely aware of the need to minimize any implication in his public remarks that the US has been sharing intelligence with Ukraine, though it's hard to avoid concluding this has been the case in situations like targeting Russian generals or sinking the Moskva. The advantage to the Pentagon is that, as someone who's previously been an admiral, nobody has to bring him up to speed on how the whole system operates. They trust the guy.

The Politico link above is intriguing farher down:

In theory, the move was meant to add a strong foreign policy voice at a moment when crises abroad occupy a huge portion of the president’s time. Kirby’s experience in the Pentagon, and the State Department, and his strong relationships with many reporters and broadcast network higher-ups serve as useful tools for a White House fielding numerous thorny foreign policy questions every day[.]

. . . In addition, there was confusion over what exactly Kirby would do in the White House.

. . . There were also discussions about whether he would have the responsibilities and receive the same title held by BEN RHODES, former deputy national security adviser for strategic communications and speechwriting.

. . . “The thing about describing models like that — the Ben Rhodes model — they tend to be unique to an individual,” JAKE SULLIVAN told reporters on Air Force One Sunday. “John Kirby will have the John Kirby model of the role of coordinator for strategic communications at the NSC.”

I think it's safe to say that Kirby is absolutely trusted by Secretaries Austin and Blinken, including on the basis of his down-the-line performance on the Afghan withdrawal. At the same time, I have the impression that Austin and Blinken have managed to carve out a field of policy discretion for themselves over Ukraine. Observers like retired Gen Jack Keane have made the point that after the first weeks of the Ukraine invasion, the administration made a 180 degree policy turn, moving to full support of Zelensky, shippinig him heavy weapons and allowing the transfer of old Warsaw Pact aircraft from NATO countries.

I've got to assume this was at the initiative of Austin and Blinken, while I've also got to note that this is just about the only policy Biden hasn't [messed] up. I've also got to assume Austin and Blinken recognize that Biden is the creature of his handlers, and they need to have a credible figure on site at the White House to further their interests and act as a Biden handler on the specific issue of Ukraine. Otherwise, the risks of Biden himself trying to take control (as he did with Afghanistan) or some other unqualified handler getting involved are too great.

Kirby is the utterly trusted catspaw for Austin and Blinken to carry out the Pentagon's day-to-day interests in the White House. They couldn't care less about Karine Jean-Pierre; that problem will deal with itself soon enough.

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