Why Is Everyone So Upset?

In the Washington Examiner yesterday:

Also distressing to hear were Hutchinson’s accounts of Trump’s repeated fits of rage, including dining table contents overturned and ketchup dishes thrown violently across the room. The worst by far, though, was that people immediately returning from being with Trump in the presidential vehicle told of the president trying to grab the wheel of the car to force it to be driven to the Capitol and then violently reaching for the neck of Secret Service agent Bobby Engel, who headed the president’s protective detail.

Hutchinson’s testimony confirmed a damning portrayal of Trump as unstable, unmoored, and absolutely heedless of his sworn duty to effectuate a peaceful transition of presidential power. Considering the entirety of her testimony, it is unsurprising that Hutchinson said she heard serious discussions of Cabinet members invoking the 25th Amendment that would have at least temporarily evicted Trump from office.

Trump is a disgrace. Republicans have far better options to lead the party in 2024. No one should think otherwise, much less support him, ever again.

David French -- recall that he mulled running against Trump in the 2016 primaries but wussed out at the last minute -- had this to say about the Hutchinson testimony:

Yes, Trump urged the mob to “fight like hell” and march on the Capitol, but he also said they should “peacefully and patriotically” make their voices heard. That caveat was likely enough to spare him from prosecution.

That was yesterday’s analysis. Today’s is different. Because of a courageous woman named Cassidy Hutchinson, a former aide to Mark Meadows.

Earlier this afternoon she gave the most extraordinary congressional testimony I’ve ever seen. She testified that the president was so committed to walking to the Capitol with his own supporters that he allegedly tried to grab the wheel of his Secret Service vehicle. She painted the picture of a president utterly out of control, a man so committed to preserving his own power that he approved of the riot and believed that Mike Pence deserved to face mob justice.

The big thing that strikes me here is that, as I've been saying, we're in the morning after phase of the 2020 moral panic. The problem is that David French and the Washington Examiner are still in 2016. Trump is out of office and 2022 is two years away, but the never Trumpers are relitigating the guy's fitness for office as though his actual term in the White House never took place -- and their problem is that so far, the polls suggest he's a contender in the next presidential election.

In fact, the consensus in the wake of the Dobbs decision is that, by nominating three justices who didn't prove to be squishes, Trump was the guy who solved Roe. So days later, the never Trumpers have decided he's unfit for office? Didn't he just accomplish what even the never Trumpers themselves thought might never be done? I've got to think the context here is important.

In fact, the anger from the sidelines tells me something about the nervousness among the gentry class ever since 2016. Across the spectrum, the respectable "conservative" commentariat, from George Will and David Brooks to John Podheretz and David French, sensed the rising power of the uncredentialed plebs who voted Trump into office despite their best efforts and now threaten to do it again.

I think it was the foreshocks of Dobbs that drove the great uncertainties that led to the 2020 media-driven dual panic over COVID and BLM, even though Dobbs will have little actual impact on who opts for abortion, especially in the blue states where complaints about the decision are strongest.

Another symptom in the news is the accelerating speculation about who'll run for president in 2024. So far, just in the past several days, we have Gavin Newsom taking out ads against Ron DeSantis in Florida, even though he's on the ballot in California, as best anyone can tell in order to raise his visibility for 2024. In the Washington Post, Youngkin meets with megadonors amid hints he’s mulling White House bid, while in the National Review, Kamala Harris Backtracks after Guaranteeing Biden Will Run in 2024.

Doesn't this simply acknowledge the continuing undercurrent of dissatisfaction with the 2020 election, that everyone should be jockeying for position so quickly in an atmosphere where almost nobody thinks the president we have is quite up to the job? That in itself, of course, simply reinforces Trump's continued standing and stokes the rage of the people who never liked him in the first place.

As I've been saying, moral panics are thought to reflect widespread uncertainty about social change. That change has been more visible this year -- for instance, the visible decline of Russia and its role in a world balance of power, as well as the collapse of the Nixon-era social compromises that included Roe v Wade, decided in 1973. Here's a pertinent comment at Slate:

Internal critics of the Democratic Party often say that its current leaders—who are for the most part in their 80s—believe too strongly in the value of political comity and the potential for bipartisan consensus. Tactically, strategically, and emotionally, this argument goes, Democrats have failed to realize that appeals to shared values and common purpose are no longer the most effective way to achieve tangible legislative results in the United States’ political system.

The old Nixon-era cliches that supported Earth Day (1970) and programs like affirmative action (Nixon executive order in 1969) were meant to paper over the issues that led to student protests and race riots in the 1960s. They've lost their effectiveness, though this raises the question of how effective they ever actually were.

At minimum, we can't go back to those days. As even Slate recognizes, the chief advocates and beneficiaries of doing that are in a fading generation. Trump was in many ways an opportunist who simply read the public mood, and the public mood isn't going to change.