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Showing posts from April, 2024

Judge Cannon's Recent Releases

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US District Court Judge Aileen Cannon of the District of Southern Florida is overseeing the United States v Trump case regarding the mishandling of classified documents at Trump's Mar-a-Lago residence. Beginning Monday, April 22, she has been releasing versions of documents in the case that had previously been heavily redacted. The unredacted court filings published on April 22 revealed, among other things, the code name Plasmic Echo for the FBI investigation into those documents, and I covered this development here last Friday . In that post, I linked to a Washington Examiner story that described the release as covering "hundreds of pages of exhibits, motions, and other filings, underscored the close communication the Biden White House and the National Archives and Records Administration had in the year before Trump was indicted". Alt journalists have since been combining through those files. One result has been a not-fully-explicated theory that many of the docum...

Why Are The Lizard People Allowing These Polls?

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News about two sets of polls over the weekend brings me back to the question I raised a week ago , in which I cited Rush Limbaugh's often-expressed view that the polls aren't meant to report the news, they're meant to shape it. So in that context, what are we to make of the weekend's new polls showing Trump trending ahead of Joe once again? For CNN : Former President Donald Trump has opened his biggest lead ever captured in the CNN poll of the American electorate, enjoying a six-point advantage over incumbent Democrat President Joe Biden. Trump, at 49 percent, is six percent ahead of Biden’s 43 percent when the two are polled head-to-head. For Gallup , President Joe Biden averaged 38.7% job approval during his recently completed 13th quarter in office, which began on Jan. 20 and ended April 19. None of the other nine presidents elected to their first term since Dwight Eisenhower had a lower 13th-quarter average than Biden. . . . Jimmy Carter is the only ...

All Of A Sudden, The Trump Trial Is Slowing Down

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Let's recall that a week ago, Judge Merchan wasn't going to let Trump take any days off from his New York trial : The New York judge overseeing former President Trump’s hush money trial said Monday that Trump cannot attend arguments on presidential immunity at the Supreme Court next week. It came after the judge earlier delayed a decision on allowing Trump to attend his son Barron’s high school graduation in May. The attempts by Trump to take off certain days of his hush money trial that is expected to last weeks, if not months, came as the first day of trial was officially underway in Manhattan. . . . “Arguing before the Supreme Court is a big deal, and I can certainly appreciate why your client would want to be there, but a trial in New York Supreme Court . . . is also a big deal,” Judge Juan Merchan said to Trump lawyer Todd Blanche, rejecting his request to let the former president play hooky. “I will see him here next week,” the judge added. While the judge cle...

The Women Who Sent Joe Pictures

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Remarks from Joe Biden in his recent interview with Howard Stern drew some attention this week . Following the death of his first wife in an auto accident, "I got put in that 10 Most Eligible Bachelors list," he told Stern. "And a lot of lovely women ... would send very salacious pictures and I just give them to the Secret Service. And I thought somebody would think I was ... " The president then seems to trail off. U.S. senators and House representatives are not provided Secret Service detail, though many do travel with some security. He then discussed how he met his current wife, first lady Jill Biden. He went on about meeting Jill: "I just gave up," Biden continued. "I got a call from my brother. So, I have a girl here at Delaware; Jill is nine years younger than I am. He said you'll love her. She doesn't like politics." What I haven't seen anyone mention so far is that the Stern interview appears to have been ta...

Plasmic Echo

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Via the Washington Examiner : A judge in Florida went on an unsealing spree this week, making public a trove of documents that had previously been filed under seal or in heavily redacted form in former President Donald Trump’s classified documents case. The documents, which included hundreds of pages of exhibits, motions, and other filings, underscored the close communication the Biden White House and the National Archives and Records Administration had in the year before Trump was indicted. . . . Trump has consistently maintained that NARA was out to get him and that the agency had been maliciously coordinating with President Joe Biden’s White House from the outset of its pursuit. Newly unredacted court papers showing Trump and Smith battling over access to discovery in February reveal examples of the communication Trump has criticized. In fact, the records confirm a lengthy history of collaboration among the White House, the National Archives, and the Justice Department ...

The Legal Issues In Trump's New York Trial, In Detail

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With the start of the Trump New York trial, the legal theories behind the various Trump lawfare cases are beginning to become clear. Alan Dershowitz gives a 30,000 foot interpretation in this YouTube video . At 7:28, he gives a simplified version of the prosecution's strategy: Today was the first, pretty much, day of trial for Donald Trump. There's only one problem withthe trial: no reasonable person can figure out what the crime is. For example, today the witness was this guy Pecker from the National Enquirer, this kinda rag, that does "catch and kill", yuou know, he makes money by geting rich people to pay him to buy stories from people who are going to be exposing famous people, and then he buys the story and gets an exclusive with the accuser, and then doesn't run the story. A pretty sleazy journalism, not a crime! Why did we have a whole day of testimony on something that may be immoral but isn't a crime? And in the next days, we're ...

Judge Merchan Loses His Temper

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Although the New York courts have announced that they intend to post transcripts of the Trump trial "before the end of the following business day", this so far hasn't taken place, and the most recent transcript on the site is from Monday. Thus, at least so far, I'm having to rely on incomplete media accounts of the record. Here's the version of vesterday's blowup on Breitbart : Merchan then asked Blanche to explain if Trump believed he was not violating the gag order when he reposted the Truths. “I’d like to hear that,” Merchan exclaimed. Blanche tried to explain, but Merchan said, “Blanche, you’re losing all credibility. I have to tell you right now, you’re losing all credibility with the court.” There's a not fully helpful account of the proceedings in reverse chronological order on CNN . The exchange above appears to have taken place near the end of the hearing, close to the start of the day's trial at 11:00 AM. The specific issue, acco...

"Pecker's Up!"

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In the middle of her podcast yesterday, while discussing the Trump trial in New York, Megyn Kelly interrupted the discussion to announce, "This just in! Pecker's up!" and proceeded to giggle. This, of course, was a reference to David Pecker, the former publishing executive who is the lead prosecution witness in the trial. Her reference to his being "up" meant that he was taking the stand as they spoke, but the point, of course, was the bawdy implication that could be drawn from the circumstance. This, it seems to me, is the emerging problem for the prosecution with this trial, and as with anything else, no plan survives contact with the enemy. After more than a week, it's been a bore. During jury selection, we had the usual talking heads outlining the usual defense strategies for choosing jurors, with the usual pontifications about New York juries -- except that the usual things didn't happen. Politico was one of the few outlets to notice: A...

Inaccurate Polling

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I've kept thinking about a piece I read last week in The Hill, It’s time to retire the laziest cliché in election polling . The author, W Joseph Campbell, is not the better-known Joseph Campbell (1904-1987), the academic quack who promoted myth and folklore. Whether W Joseph even rises to the level of quackery, I'm not sure. His thumbnail says he is a professor emeritus of communication at American University. Here's his argument: Opinion polling has no lazier cliché than “snapshot in time.” . . . [T]he phrase is a refuge or metaphoric shield for pollsters when their pre-election surveys misfire. In such cases, “snapshot in time” is cited in attempting to defend or rationalize polls that careen well off-target, as many of them did in the 2020 presidential election. Joe Biden was elected to the presidency four years ago by margins well short of the double-digit blowout suggested by the polls of CNN, Quinnipiac University, Economist/YouGuv and NBC/Wall Street Jou...

Reflections On Uncle Bosey

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It's taken me a couple of days to absorb fully the implications of Joe's Uncle Bosey remarks, which he gave twice on Wednesday, April 17. Here's the transcipt of the key remarks in the second version that he gave in Pittsburgh, which are also covered in the YouTube clip above: And my uncle — they called him Un- — Ambrose — instead of “Brosie,” they called him “Bosie.” My Uncle Bosie was a hell of an athlete, they tell me, when he was a kid. And he became an Army Air Corps, before the Air Force came along. He flew those single-engine planes as reconnaissance over war zones. And he got shot down in New Guinea, and they never found the body because there used to be — there were a lot of cannibals, for real, in that part of New Guinea. The schoolmarms in the media promptly fact-checked this, and I'm not going to spend time repeating the historical version. But several features of the Pittsburgh episode in particular popped out to me. The first is the dutiful ...

This Is Rare -- Why Are We Seeing More Of It?

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According to Wikipedia , The Buddhist crisis in South Vietnam saw the persecution of the country's majority religion under the administration of Catholic president Ngô Đình Diệm. Several Buddhist monks, including the most famous case of Thích Quảng Đức, immolated themselves in protest. The example set by self-immolators in the mid 20th century sparked similar acts between 1963 and 1971, most of which occurred in Asia and the United States in conjunction with protests opposing the Vietnam War. Researchers counted almost 1000 self-immolations covered by The New York Times and The Times. On November 2, 1965, Norman Morrison, an anti-war activist, doused himself in kerosene and set himself on fire below the office of Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara at the Pentagon, to protest United States involvement in the Vietnam War. Wikipedia has a separate entry containing a list of "political" self-immolations beginning in 1948. The vast majority of these took place ...