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Showing posts from November 27, 2023

It's Not A Stalemate, It's Worse

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Looking for the current outlook on the Russia-Ukraine War, I found this article at Responsible Statecraft : George Beebe, Director of Grand Strategy at [Quincy Institute], highlighted the perils of extrapolating a “stalemate” from the current lack of significant battlefield movements in Ukraine. “Those who believe this war has settled into a long-term stalemate make the mistake of measuring the relative progress of each side with maps. They see that the frontlines have not moved significantly over the last year and conclude that the sides are stalemated,” Beebe told me. “But other metrics, though, paint a different picture. Ukraine is using up its quite limited supplies of men, weapons, and ammunition, and the West cannot provide what Ukraine needs. That is not a formula for stalemate; it's a formula for Ukraine's eventual collapse or capitulation,” he continued. . . . “Despite everything that’s happened, despite all the stuff we have given, the Bradley’s, the M1 [Abrams]...