The Needle Is Moving
A week ago, I noted that the Real Clear Politics popular-vote polling average had Kamala with a 1.8% lead . Just this past Friday, I noted that her lead was down to 1.3% . As new polls were released over the weekend, it continued to fall, until by this morning, it's down to 1.0%. On one hand, this is a lagging indicator, since the average includes old polls that haven't been updated. On the other, it includes polls that have proved highly inaccurate and biased toward Democrats in the past. But on top of that, a "national popular vote" average is Democrat-leaning, since it totals votes in high-population, Democrat-leaning states like New York and California, when the Electoral College is meant to limit big-state advantage in elections. So far, I've seen basically no cogent commentary on what this decline in Kamala's popular vote averages means. However, it comes in the wake of the vice presidential debate Octobrr 1, her Call Her Daddy interview October 6, ...