The Only Journalist Who's Been Working Over Spring Break Is Mark Halperin
The reason he's working is because he has a lot of incentive. He crashed and burned his career in 2017, when multiple women filed sexual harassmnet and misconduct complaints against him from his time as political director of ABC News, at which point his then-employers NBC News ahd Showtime fired him. He began a serious attempt at rehabilitation in 2019 but faced major headwinds, and he made little progress until last year, when he began work for Megyn Kelly and MK Media, hosting the 2WAY news platform.
I've followed him on 2WAY, and I get the impression that what he's trying to offer is someone who has good inside sources, who asks those sources good questons, and does good analysis of what he learns. What he's betting is that since this is something nobody else is providing, he can rebuild his career with it.
Lately, he's been unique in covering the putative upcoming "negotiations" over the Iran war. One question that's come up for me over the past few days is why, over the past week, "Tehran", or whoever claims to be speaking for the mullahs, has consistently demanded the same unrealisic proposals.
These include reparations from the US, full control over the Strait of Hormuz and the right to charge tolls, withdrawal of all US bases in the region, a permanent end of the war, and the end of sanctions. It made these demnds last week before Trump announced a pause for negotiations, but it reiterated them yesterday. So what are the prospects for negotiations? At about 2:05 in the video embedded above, Halperin says:
I think the president and Bibi have had a plan all along to do regime change. . . . The whole point of this extrordinary, unauthorized attack, the whole point of all this firepower, the whole point of assassinating foreign leaders, is because this regime has been run by crazy, theocratic murderers. And if you replace a bunch of crazy, theocratic murderers with a bunch of crazy, theocratic murderers, you haven't really solved the problem. So I believe, although it's been played down, and although I believe the president could end the conflict without this, I believe there's been a secret plan to do regime change. . . . How did World War II end with the Japanese and the Germans? Surrender.
He fleshed out these ideas in more detail in another post:
We don't know if there'll be peace talks, but there might be tomorrow in Islamabad, they might feature the vice president, they might feature the president's two special negotiators, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff. The Iranians might not come, because they don't think the deal that's on the table is any good. They also might not come, according to Axios, something I thought of, although not based on reporting, it'd be a good time to kill them, if you wanted. . . . We also know that the Iranians, quite rightly, have observed the past is prologue with Donald Trump, and the last two times there were negotiations going on, they were basically just a pretext to attack.
In other words, Halperin, whose read on Trump makes him more savvy than most believe, thinks he's playing a deeper game. After all,
The United States military is deploying thousands of Marines and several more battleships to the Middle East, even as President Donald Trump’s top officials are reportedly engaged in talks to potential end to the war with Iran.
Some 2,200 Marines from the 31st Expeditionary Unit, traveling aboard the USS Tripoli, are due to arrive in the region on Friday, according to the Wall Street Journal, along with an amphibious landing dock, the USS New Orleans.
The troop movements are taking place against the backdrop of the first tentative signs of ceasefire talks since the conflict began on Feb. 28. After giving Iran an ultimatum to open the Strait of Hormuz or face the destruction of its power grid, Trump wrote on Truth Social on Monday that he had “constructive conversations” with the Iranian leadership, “regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East.”
Iran has denied that talks had taken place. A statement from Iran’s foreign ministry, reported by the semiofficial Mehr News Agency, said Trump’s statements were designed to “reduce energy prices and gain time to implement his military plans.”
Military experts interviewed by TIME suggest that the suspicion may not be far-fetched.
I've linked here to analysis that said Trump announced a pause for negotiations to calm the markets, and this lasted at least until yesterday. Today,
The S&P 500 fell on Thursday, weighed by higher oil prices, as traders followed the latest developments out of the Middle East.
The broad market index declined 0.7%, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 108 points, or 0.2%.
Crude prices rose on Thursday, putting pressure on equities. Brent futures jumped 4% to above $107 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate futures climbed 3% to above $93.
So, what is Trump's deep game? I suspect it's that the Crusades left a lot of business unfinished. He's going to take crazy, theocratic murderers out of Islam, which is to say he's going to take Islam out of Islam. This will leave Islam in a state comparable to liberal Protestantism, at least aa far asa the US is concerned. The Europeans will have a different job on their hands.



