Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Mark Halperin On Post-Platner Maine

Mark Halperin continues to rebuild his reputation as a serious commentator with a piece at The Free Press, Ditching Platner May Not Be a Win for Democrats. I think he has a handle on the dilemma:

It was the rise of Platner, far more than the downfall, that tells us much about the energy in the Democratic Party today, which has also been exemplified by the success of Zohran Mamdani and other socialists and super progressives in mayoral, House, and Senate races. These candidates’ platforms can almost be summed up by those four piquant words from the closing paragraph of the ousted oysterman’s letter Friday giving up the Senate nomination he had so easily won, which I now repeat because, my goodness, who ends a campaign that way: “F*ck ICE. Free Palestine.”

That wave among the Democrats points to the two biggest questions facing Democrats in Maine: Will the party back another Senate candidate from its radical, populist wing? And could a candidate like that take out the popular incumbent, GOP senator Susan Collins?

Platner had a unique charisma, and the talent scouts who discovered him had things at least half right: a certain hard core was going to stick with him no matter what. But the hard core was certainly overrepresented in the primary vote. Still, Platner post-withdrawal represents a whole second set of problems: his endorsement of a new candidate, if he gives it, is both a curse and a blessing. There's no question it will give the new candidate a good part of the hard core that voted for him in the primary, but it will also mean that candidate has been endorsed by a rapist.

The other factor for Halperin is Susan Collins:

Susan Collins has developed a political reputation that few senators of either party enjoy: She consistently performs better at the ballot box than many analysts expect and polls project.

Her 2020 reelection campaign remains seared into the minds of both Chuck Schumer, the Democrats’ Senate leader, and Collins herself. For much of that race, public polling showed Democratic nominee Sara Gideon leading. In the closing days, the RealClearPolitics polling average had Gideon ahead by roughly 6 percentage points. On Election Day, Collins won by more than 8 points, a margin and victory that became one of the biggest polling surprises of the 2020 cycle.

This is one more reason I question why Real Clear Politics has the reputation it does, although to its credit, RCP linked Halperin's essay. But as we've also seen here from clips of his YouTube channel, Halperin is also skeptical of the Democrat replacement field:

Running statewide is a little like launching a Broadway show. Opening night arrives whether you’ve finished rehearsing or not. And based on the résumés, recent electoral failed pasts, and early efforts to replace Platner, the cast of characters vying for the Senate slot would struggle to earn supporting roles in a Bayonne, New Jersey, dinner theater production of Pippin, let alone take on an incumbent senator from a standing start.

The eventual nominee’s tasks include, but are not limited to: assembling—or reassembling—a political organization. Becoming well-known by voters across the state. Building a fundraising operation to pull in millions of dollars quickly. Preparing for debates on issues ranging from national security to AI to trade policy. Parrying the opposition research that will come from Team Collins. And replying to an endless stream of questions about the Platner of It All. This is sort of what Kamala Harris tried and failed to do in 2024.

He also sees an incongruity in the whole Platner phenomenon:

And it is worth noting, with irony and hilarity, that when Platner was tapped, he was created by Dr. Frankenstein consultants in order to appeal to both men and working-class voters. Yet the recent polling indicates his support was disproportionately from women and college-educated voters, the heart of the anti-Trump base of the party. To beat Collins, the new nominee is almost certainly going to have to do better than Platner did with men and the actual blue-collar folks of the Pine Tree State. Republicans are going to exploit every biographical element, past vote, and piquant quote to try to stop that from happening.

The information we can find on polling for November prior to Platne's withdrawal suggests Platner wasn't running away with the election himself:

Democratic upstart Graham Platner holds a slight lead over Republican incumbent Susan Collins in a general election matchup for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat should he win next week’s primary, according to a UMass Lowell/YouGov poll issued Thursday.

The survey of 650 likely Maine voters shows Platner has the support of 48% of respondents, compared to 43% for Collins, with 6% undecided and 2% supporting another candidate. A gender gap exists among polltakers who back each candidate: 54% of women and 42% of men support Platner, while Collins earns the support of 35% of women and 51% of men.

The survey found 43% of respondents have a favorable view of Platner, while 41% view him unfavorably, 14% have no opinion of him and 2% have never heard of him. Thirty-six percent of respondents view Collins favorably compared to 53% of respondents who view her unfavorably, while 11% have no opinion of her.

And we need to keep in mind Collins's history of outperforming the polls -- in 2020, by 14%. This would confirm the speculation that Democrats engineered the rape allegation so that Platner could be forced out before the deadline to find his replacement; Republicans would have preferred the whole thing come out much later.

But you know what? I'm really starting to root for my fellow Bethesdan, Mark Halperin.

Monday, July 13, 2026

Candace Owens And The Tyler Robinson Probable Cause Hearing

I've basically been tuning out the whole Candace Owens conspiracy theory over Charlie Kirk's assassination for the past eight months or so, but the level of convincing detail in the prosecution's case against Tyler Robinson in last week's probable cause hearing has made me want to bring myself up to date. The clearest version of the whole controversy I've seen is this:

As far as I can tell, there seem to be two competing theories for how and why Charlie Kirk was assassinated on Sept. 10, 2025.

The first, of course, is the story we’re hearing in court: Tyler Robinson hated Charlie’s so-called “trans-phobia” and murdered him with a German rifle for ideological reasons. Supporting evidence includes Robinson’s romantic relationship with a trans person, his confession(s), his DNA, his fingerprints, his text messages, ballistics data, bullet shells, video surveillance, eye-witness testimony, and much, much more.

The other theory?

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu — along with Charlie’s (backstabbing) widow Erika Kirk, the French government, Egyptian planes, and traitorous, evil turncoats in Turning Point USA — discovered that Charlie was going to abandon Israel, so they staged a fake shooting in a Satanic pentagon, used Tyler Robinson as a patsy, killed Charlie with an exploding microphone, and then stole the organization he built from the ground up.

The probable cause hearing has gone a long way to discredit the second theory. According to Douglas Murray at The Free Press,

It looks like we may be about to see a conspiracy theory fall apart in real time.

It was clear the day after Charlie Kirk was assassinated in front of a crowd of 3,000 people at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025, who the main suspect was. Surveillance footage showed Tyler Robinson getting down from the rooftop where the fatal shot appeared to have been fired. He had already penned a handwritten confession and a set of texts to his lover admitting the crime. The next day, Robinson’s mother recognized her son from a photograph released by the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and his parents arranged for him to speak to a family friend who was a retired sheriff’s deputy. The family friend convinced Robinson to turn himself in on September 11.

Of all the shocking things that happened in the immediate aftermath, perhaps the most shocking was how hard some online commentators tried to ignore everything about the case. Instead, they blamed almost everyone but Robinson for the shooting. At various times, the accused have included the Israeli government, Egyptian spy planes, Kirk’s colleagues at Turning Point USA, his widow, and people in the crowd that day who were wearing maroon-colored shirts.

Worse still is that two of the people who have diverted attention from the actual effort by prosecutors to put Robinson on trial for Kirk’s murder are Candace Owens and Tucker Carlson, who were once close to Charlie Kirk. For almost a year, both Owens and Carlson attempted to poke every hole they could imagine in the government’s case and point the finger at anyone other than Robinson, whose preliminary hearing began on Monday in a Provo court. A judge will decide whether the evidence against Robinson is strong enough to proceed to a trial. Robinson has not entered a plea in the case.

Two commentators who had previously sided with Owens and Carlson, David Freiheit, who posts as Viva Frei, and Megyn Kelly, have eased their stances and now say that at minimum, prosecutors have established that there's probable cause to send the case to trial, even though this is a "low standard". Other commentators, including Micheal Lebron, who posts as Lionel, and Carlson himself, continue either to support Owens directly or support her right to promote a conspiracy theory.

Although David Freiheit in particular has criticized Judge Tony Graf Jr for holding the lengthy probable cause hearing when he could simply have ruled that probable cause exists from the bench, it's plain that bringing the prosecution's evidence out in the public hearing has minimized the effect of the conspiracy theories.

Although Robinson's defense team objected to showing his autopsy report in court, testimony from Utah State Bureau of Investigation Agent David Hull listed his death as a homicide caused by a gunshot wound to the neck.

The testimony included no indication that the forensic pathologist who handled the autopsy found anything inconsistent with that conclusion, ruling out theories involving an exploding microphone.

. . . The video isn't the only evidence that prosecutors say places Robinson at UVU, however. They have surveillance video of a Dodge Challenger coming and going. He allegedly encountered a Spanish Fork police officer who ran his license plates. And his DNA was allegedly recovered from a screwdriver found near the sniper's perch and on the suspected murder weapon, hidden in a "wooded area" just steps away from campus.

. . . Again, investigators alleged they can place Robinson on campus multiple times the day of the murder with video, physical and digital evidence.

They say he arrived in the morning, entered the campus, left, and came back later with different clothes on, following virtually the same path. And they showed a compilation video taken by UVU surveillance cameras showing all of that.

. . . Another conspiracy theory promoted on social media claims that there are "many" young men who decided to wear maroon shirts and light shorts on the day Charlie Kirk was killed, stating "without a clear image, they certainly cannot declare it is Tyler Robinson."

A compilation video played in court shows the suspect in two different outfits — one of which included a maroon T-shirt. In the other, he wore a black, long-sleeved shirt. Prosecutors have alleged Robinson appears to be both of them, and they also have video of the suspect getting out of a gray Dodge Challenger in the school's parking garage — the same kind of vehicle Robinson drove.

. . . The defense tried hard not to allow the public to hear testimony from Twiggs or see text messages, Discord chat logs or the handwritten note Robinson left for Twiggs — all three of which include what appear to be admissions of guilt. Graf allowed that evidence, however,

and the defense showed nothing to indicate there was a foreign conspiracy involved in Kirk's murder.

This is actually all pretty boring stuff. I hope it will have the effect of diverting attention from Owens and Carlson.

Sunday, July 12, 2026

People Like Us!

A while ago, I surmised that Graham Platner was never actually vetted; it was enough that he was People Like Us, preppie, Ivy-adjacent trustfunders. A detailed piece in the Washington Free Beacon profiles two of the talent scouts who promoted Platner, Morris Katz and Daniel Moraff.

Katz, 27, became a bona fide Beltway celebrity after helping Zohran Mamdani defeat a profoundly unpopular sex pest in the New York City mayoral election. He helped recruit Platner to run in Maine, and made a slickly produced launch video of the unemployed business owner cosplaying as a working-class everyman.

"Like Mr. Mamdani, Mr. Katz is a child of the New York cultural elite, but is fluent in the anti-elite language of progressive populism," the New York Times wrote earlier this year in a profile headlined, "He's 26 and Ready to Fix the Democrats' Strategy."

Like Platner, Katz is a child of privilege who abhors capitalism, functioning societies, and opponents of terrorism. His great-grandfather "made a fortune in hosiery," the Times reports. His grandfather, Harry Jay Katz, was a notorious libertine described as a "playboy prince of darkness" with a "multi-million dollar trust fund." He claimed to have slept with 4,000 women, and ran a vanity publication whose poetry editor, Ira Einhorn, would go on to be known as the "Unicorn Killer" after murdering his ex-girlfriend in 1977.

. . . A left-wing activist with degrees from Brown and Yale, Moraff is the "mad scientist" who helped recruit Platner because he wanted Democrats to nominate "real human beings" who oppose Israel and capitalism. He is the grandson of Seymour Ginsburg, who founded the predecessor to Toys "R" Us and served as the toy chain's first president.

. . . Moraff, 34, reportedly likened Platner to Barack Obama in the early days of the campaign, and didn't bother to subject the candidate to a normal vetting process—an ill-advised decision, in retrospect. Along with his business partner and fiancée, Leanne Fan, Moraff was convinced that Platner was a "historic figure" destined to lead a "revolution."

. . . On Friday, we learned that Moraff and Platner had more in common than anyone dared to imagine. While living off his family wealth and "working" on Democratic campaigns in the Pittsburgh area, Moraff developed a reputation as "the most hated staffer in the region."

In 2022, Moraff was banished from congresswoman Summer Lee's (D., Pa.) campaign after multiple women accused him of sexual misconduct. "None of his current embroilment really surprises me because he doesn't have boundaries with women, nor much of an ethical code," a former Pittsburgh organizer told Payday Report.

So there we are, everyone is a member of a tiny club, no other vetting required. The current front runner to replace Platner is in a similar mold, a blue-collar-seeming manly man with a problematic past:

Maine Democrats are so desperate to replace accused rapist Graham Platner with another rugged “working-class hero” type that the left wing has thrown its support behind an Allagash logger — despite a past that’s anything but progressive.

. . . Troy Jackson, a fifth-generation logger and longtime union member who served as president of the Maine Senate from 2018 to 2024, looks like the natural successor to Platner — at least on the surface.

. . . Jackson, 58, campaigned with both Platner and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) on the “Fighting the Oligarchy” tour at the University of Maine in May. He is a longtime ally of the Vermont socialist, having been one of the few Democratic National Committee superdelegates to endorse him over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

This week, the political organization founded by Sanders after his unsuccessful 2016 presidential run, Our Revolution, said it was throwing its “full organizing machine” behind Jackson’s Senate bid, stating he “spent his life in the fight working people are asking for.”

. . . In fact, Jackson launched his career as a Republican when he first ran for the Maine legislature in 2000. After losing, he tried again in 2002, but as an Independent. In 2004, he morphed again and became a Dem.

But even after that, some of his positions remained very much right of center. In 2009, he voted against same-sex marriage in the Maine Senate and has long thought abortion should be illegal except in cases of rape or incest — even when the mother’s life is in danger.

In 2011, he voted for a state bill that would have declared a fetus a person and in 2013, for mandatory abortion-counseling legislation.

Jackson apparently has his own problems with women:

A progressive advocacy group on Tuesday accused former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson of striking a female colleague with a bottle he threw during a state Senate caucus dispute years ago, complicating his emergence as the leading Democrat contender to replace Graham Platner on the November ballot against Republican Sen. Susan Collins.

. . . In a post on X, the group said Jackson, "in a heated disagreement, struck a female colleague with a bottle he threw at her" during a caucus meeting when he served as Senate president, and it described the episode as "a widespread open secret" in Maine politics that was "not an isolated incident."

At about 3:00 in the video embedded above, Mark Halperin and his guests roast the top three of roughly a dozen potential replacements for Platner, deriding them as "top tier" and the "crème de la crème" -- "These are the A team that's gonna do the impossible task of beating an incumbent senator, Susan Collins, in less than 100 days." Discussing the incongruous background music in Troy Jackson's announcement video, Halperin says, "You wouldn't put that in a deodorant ad. That's the music they play when you're in a sleep study, and they're tryng to put you to sleep."

A guest says, "The bigger problem in the video is he's talking to voters, but voters aren't gonna have a say in this, so who cares?" Halperin concludes,

You're gonna have to be a major leaguer to beat Susan Collins. And these peopole aren't even talking about, like, AI or China. And the Collins people are sitting back and laughing at all this. Their view of theae videos matches, at least, my own. . . . It's gonna take so much to raise the money, to do everything you need to do, and first they gotta win the nomination. . . . Here's the dynamic I'm going to predict. These candidates are not interesting. Platner is notr gonna go away, and reporters are going to ask all these candidates, for a good long while, "What did you think of Platner? Why didn't you abandon Platner sooner?"

But the informed consensus seems to be that the Democrat establishment unleashed the rape allegation when it did to get Platner off the ticket in time to replace him, because he was already losing to Collins in the polls -- but they did it without a clear replacement. Who can they find who can outperform Platner against Collins?

Saturday, July 11, 2026

McConnell Indisposed, Wife In China

Via Breitbart News,

Conservative activist Laura Loomer and journalist Desiree Townsend both claimed Monday that Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) has been declared “brain dead,” citing unnamed sources.

I've always thought Mitch McConnell was brain dead even when he was alive, that's a dog bites man story. The bigger question is who is his wife, Elaine Chao, and why is she in China? We know she was Secretary of Transportation under Trump 45 and Secretary of Labor under Bush fils, but I took that as simply a payoff to Mitch. It turns out the story is much more complicated. From a 2019 piece at CNN:

Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao’s family has deep business ties to China – placing the key Cabinet official in a potentially conflicting position with the Trump administration’s confrontational posture toward the US’ major economic rival, according to a report from The New York Times. The Times investigation outlined Chao’s ties to Foremost Group, her family’s shipping business. The report noted that while Chao “has no formal affiliation or stake” in the company, she and her husband, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, have received millions in gifts from Chao’s father, who used to run the company, along with political donations from her family.

Chao, according to the report, has boosted the company in China, whose government runs a bank that has loan commitments from the shipping company in the order of “hundreds of millions of dollars.”

The report said in addition to the shipping company, Chao’s family has other ties to official China, including board positions in state companies and a close relationship between Chao’s father and former Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party General Secretary Jiang Zemin.

. . . Chao was previously the Labor secretary during the Bush administration, and from the outset of the Trump administration, she has been the head of the Transportation Department, which, as the Times noted, makes Chao the top official overseeing the US shipping industry.

Via People,

According to a report shared by the Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the United States of America, “Chao said maintaining stable U.S.-China relations serves the interests of all parties, and expressed the willingness to continue making efforts to promote practical cooperation and people-to-people exchanges between the United States and China.”

While McConnell’s office has been tight-lipped about his health and the 84-year-old has not made a public appearance or spoken to reporters since his admission on June 14, Chao finally broke her silence through a spokesperson on Tuesday, July 7, in a statement to multiple outlets, including Louisville CBS affiliate WLKY and The Daily Beast.

A spokesperson for Chao told those news organizations in a statement that “the secretary was on a long-planned trip in China to support her family’s philanthropic endeavors.”

“During the trip, she met with a number of people, including the US ambassador,” the statement said. “The Senator’s health did not warrant an immediate return to the US.”

. . . Since leaving Trump’s administration in January 2021 following the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol, Chao was tapped to serve on the board of directors for the Kroger supermarket chain “and technology companies in the mobility space,” according to an official biography. She also serves on the board of the Kennedy Center and the Los Angeles 2028 Summer Olympics organizing committee.

Chao, 73, married McConnell in 1993 and later became the first Asian American woman to serve in a president’s Cabinet. She immigrated to the U.S. from Taiwan as a child and became a U.S. citizen as a teenager.

McConnell is one of the wealthiest US senators, but this is almost entirely due to gifts from Chao's family (her sister runs the family shipping business).

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and his wife, former Labor Secretary Elaine Chao, received a personal gift from a family member worth between $5 million and $25 million, according to his annual financial disclosure report, which was released on Friday morning.

The gift came from Chao’s father, Dr. James S.C. Chao, a wealthy Chinese-born businessman, and it boosted McConnell’s personal worth from a minimum of $3 million in 2007 to more than $7 million.

McConnell's overall net worth was estimated at $34,137,534 in 2018, making him the 7th wealthiest senator at that time. This is primarily due to investments of the Chao family's money. It's hard to avoid thinking that whatever McConnell's actual health condition, it doesn't make much difference; his wife and her family have been running the whole show for years. Nevertheless, this YouTube on McConnell's condition is hilarious:

Friday, July 10, 2026

LA Metro

Urban transit in the US is a festering sore. Ridership, especially on subway and commuter rail systems, has diminished since COVID, while transit overall is significantly less safe. Los Angeles is no exception. A recent piece in City Journal, which in 2024 broke the story of Haitians in Temporary Protrected Status, outlines the problem:

Every day, thousands of Los Angelenos take a deep breath, step out of their houses, and plunge themselves into a transit experience straight out of Mad Max. The city’s buses have become rolling homeless shelters, replete with drugs and feces. Its trains are home to murder and mayhem. As Daquan, a daily rider who works near the North Hollywood station told us, “You could kill somebody down there and just get away with it.”

The transformation has been swift and stark. Between 2020 and 2025, crime in the system more than doubled. What drove the change? L.A. Metro’s dedication to creating an equitable transit system, where all Angelenos—drug-addicted, homicidal maniacs included—can effectively ride free, without consequences.

. . . Activists and their allies in city government have spent years laser-focused on driving cops from the L.A. Metro’s buses and trains. Their argument: making people pay to use the trains is racist.

. . . Obviously, none of this is working. . . . Adjusting for ridership, battery and aggravated assaults both increased by more than 100 percent, and narcotics offenses rose by more than 800 percent.

The lawlessness starts at the entrance: about half of L.A. Metro riders don’t pay, according to data analyzed by Davis. By comparison, Metro’s fare-evasion rate was between 3 percent and 7 percent across stations in 2007. Most importantly, more than 90 percent of violent criminals on the Metro evade fares, meaning the sort of people who go on to stab old ladies in the neck could have been caught by fare enforcement, but aren’t. Despite L.A. Metro’s numerous pilot programs and quasi-safety measures, the one method proven to work for the system is the one method board members are reluctant to try: classic policing.

Kansas City discovered that free buses don't work:

Turns out there’s no such thing as a free bus ride. Kansas City started charging fares again this month to ride the bus, six years after making them free. The area’s transportation authority said it chose requiring users to pay over continuing to impose service cuts.

. . . There is voluminous evidence that charging fares, and enforcing them, helps keep troublemakers out. Randy Clarke, the head of D.C.’s Metro system, credits a crackdown on fare evasion with improved public safety. “Not everyone who fare-evades commits crimes, but almost universally, everyone who commits serious crimes fare-evades,” Clarke told Santi Ruiz on the “Statecraft” podcast. “Not many people are going to tap in and then do armed robbery.”

The Bay Area Rapid Transit system in California found that installing hardened fare gates on its subways contributed to rising revenue while reducing crime and decreasing upkeep. BART performed almost 1,000 fewer hours of corrective maintenance in the first six months after the new fare gates were installed.

Here's a vignette of fare enforcement at tbe Bay Area Rapid Transit system: According to San Francisco media,

"I hope she wasn’t hurt and I hope she received a nice ticket to pay for fare evasion," says BART Director Liz Ames, speaking to NBC Bay Area about the viral incident.

Ames tells the station that BART revenue is rising and fare evasion has plummeted thanks to the new, mostly evasion-proof fare gates — and, consequently, crime is down as well, Ames says.

Trump-supporting former BART director Debora Allen also got a call for comment from NBC Bay Area, and she was happy to take credit for spearheading the new fare gate project.

"I think it’s great. I think it’s the best thing we’ve done at BART in many, probably decades," Allen tells the station.

Ames added that revenue is up about $10 million, possibly thanks to the fare gates, and if that keeps up each year, the $90 million project to install the gates will have paid for itself in less than ten years.

When I was in tech back in the day, I had lots of assignments in the San Francisco area, and riding transit back then was an enjoyable experience. It was actually always better than in LA, but apparently things changed, and the two cities are about equally bad. Fare enforcement, at least in San Francisco, might turn things around.

Thursday, July 9, 2026

Platner Post Mortems

I've got to say I'm disappointed that Graham Platner dropped out of the Maine Senate race, because having him stay on the ballot would have been just too delicious. But there's plenty of awkwardness and embarrassment yet to come. Just for starters is the Maine Democrat chair's message, embedded in Mark Halperin's 2WAY YouTube above:

As you know, the Maine Democratic Party has been working around the clock to develop a process to replace our US Senate nominee that is open, inclusive, transparent, and fair. the integrity of this process is just as important as the outcome, and we are committed to ensuring that Democrats across our state can have confidence in both.

Because, of course, last month's primary wasn't open, inclusive, transparent, and fair enough. She goes on, to cackles from one of Halperin's guests,

We have repeatedly reiterated [sic] to Graham Platner's team that they have no role in determining our next Democratic nominee for the US Senate, nor in determining what this process looks like.

I'm not sure bhow they'll be able, first, to create and promulgate an open, inclusive, transparent, and fair process to pick a new nominee, and then to implement it in an open, inclusive, transparent, and fair way before July 27. For starters, a girlboss type may not be the best spokesperson for the project, but maybe that's just me.

Another intriguing development yesterday was the gathering at Platner's home before he announced he was dropping out:

Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s silver-spoon socialist adviser, Morris Katz, rushed over to beleaguered Graham Platner’s house Wednesday as they plotted how to remain a powerbroker in the Senate race — enraging Democrats.

The gathering included Platner’s top campaign brass in addition to Katz, who is trying to hatch a plan for Platner to “remain a voice” in the Senate contest “no matter what” the accused rapist decides, a source familiar with deliberations told The Post.

. . . His intransigence has left Maine Democrats “livid” and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) “in shock,” according to the source.

Well, you can tell from the Halperin clip that the girlboss is not amused, anyhow. The piece continues,

“The fact that the NYC mayor’s fixer is headed there to triage Maine has everyone fuming,” the source added.

Allies of Platner argue that he formed a movement in Maine, touting the over 150,000 votes he notched in the primary, and deserves to remain influential.

. . . Two sources say Katz has told allies he believes Platner should to leave the race before the 5 p.m. Monday deadline to withdraw from the ballot — but wants the exit to be on the candidate’s terms.

“It’s quite clear that he’s [Platner’s] gonna have to get out of the race,” a second source told The Post. “Their reluctance here … is a result of their larger political project, trying to get these types of candidates into places of power.”

Other campaign officials seen entering Platner’s Sullivan home include field director Spencer Toth, digital communications consultant Ryan Aquilina, campaign manager Ben Chin, and Chin’s deputy Eleni Neyland.

A later report suggests the leverage Senate Democrats were able to apply:

Just hours after the latest rape claims, Schumer and Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) issued a joint statement denouncing Platner.

“The allegations reported today are incredibly disturbing – violence, abuse and sexual assault are absolutely unacceptable,” it said.

“Graham Platner needs to immediately withdraw as the Democratic nominee for Senate and allow Maine Democrats the opportunity to choose a new candidate who can defeat Susan Collins. The DSCC [Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee] will not invest in the Maine Senate race if Platner remains on the ballot.”

. . . Platner lashed out at those who abandoned him and pulled his financial support.

“We are going to lose our ability to fundraise. We are going to lose our ability to access voter data. We are going to lose all of the things that any campaign needs on the basic level simply to function,” he bemoaned.

“Larger organizations, the national level party, the bigger donor networks – they have all committed to spending no money in this race if I’m in it,” Platner continued. “They would rather see Susan Collins win than have me be the next senator from Maine,” he said.

In other words, grassroots donations weren't going to pay the big-bucks salaries of all the hangers-on who gathered at Platner's house yesterday afternoon. Might there have been a deal to keep those folks off unemployment, or have the establishment Democrats dealt the DSA a mortal blow in the Platner fiasco? In any case, according to the UK Guardian,

The state party said on Wednesday it would hold a nominating convention to pick a new candidate.

But one complicating factor has been that Platner won more primary votes than any Democratic Senate candidate in the state’s history, and energized a coalition that the establishment favorite, governor Janet Mills, never matched. Some have suggested that his successor will need to carry forward that energy, while others are arguing the new nominee will have to be independent from him, or risk being seen as his protégé.

Whoever takes the position will have little time to prepare for a general election against Collins, a five-term incumbent.

Media conventional wisdomm lists a dozen or more potential Platner replacements, but a problem is that nearly all of them, like former Gov Janet Mills, have already lost in recent Democrat primaries, either for governor or the Senate nomination that Platner won last month. There are other questioms about numbers. This piece, written just before Platner dropped out, asks:

In her 2020 election, Susan Collins got 417,645 votes (51%), while her Democrat opponent, Sara Gideon, got 347,223 (42.4%). In the Democratic primary that year, Gideon got 116,264 votes, which was 71.5% of the 162,681 ballots cast in the primary. Let’s compare the performance of Gideon to how Platner did in this year’s Democratic primary: 154,084 votes (72.1%) — about 38,000 more votes. But if Collins once again tops 400,000 votes in the November election, where’s Platner going to come up with the extra 250,000 votes he’ll need to beat her?

A Platner replacement won't have the Platner glitz, while former Platner voters may not have the same enthusiasm for someone not specifically aligned with the DSA.

Wednesday, July 8, 2026

The Platner Story Won't Quit!

The big lesson for me in the evolving Platner saga is how easily mainstream leftists let themselves be conned. Scott Jennings claims he was in fact "vetted":

All of this whole thing is disgusting but to say that they hadn't vetted him, or that they didn't know about all this is totally false. They knew it and they signed up for it and I don't know why they're backing away from this scumbag today when they had already signed off on all that other crazy behavior.

Strictly speaking, the specific Jenny Racicot allegations of sexual assault (and now sneaky behavior relative to contraception) became public only as of the past few days; they weren't general knowledge, for instance, before the Maine primary.

What was actually going on was that, as I pointed out yesterday, Platner was merchandised by DSA talent spotters as though he had been vetted, and the Democrat machine and out-of-state donors took this on faith. He looked authentic, as only someone out of the L L Bean catalog can look. (Full disclosure: the first big change in my lifestyle that my wife announced after our marriage was that I would no longer be sourcing my wardrobe from L L Bean.)

A better take is from Michael Cohen at MS NOW:

The first lesson is don’t fall in love with an unvetted political outsider — or, for that matter, any politician. When he announced his candidacy, Platner told a compelling story. He was a political outsider with no experience in electoral politics, a Marine combat veteran and an oyster fisherman in a state where working on the water is a badge of honor.

. . . It turned out that, far from being a successful oyster fisherman, his biggest customer was his mother, who runs a restaurant. Platner’s claims of a hardscrabble youth were contradicted by stories of living off his parents’ generosity and stints at an elite private school.

But even Cohen misses a central point: like many modern Democrats, if Platner is anything, it's entitled. Platner is People Like Us. Why vet him? We already know who he is! I think this is also key to what's likely next in this saga. Scott Pinsker gamed this out a little over a month ago at PJ Media:
  1. Graham Platner drops out in shame and is replaced by a DNC establishment favorite who’s safer, fully vetted, and more likely to win (and follow orders).
  2. Graham Platner stays on the ballot, but because the scandal(s) dropped in May/June, it’ll be “old news” by the first Tuesday of November.
As of this morning, the state of play appears to be number 2: Platner so far is either refusing to drop out entirely, or refusing to drop out unless he can name his successor: One take I've seen on the Platner story is that this scandal is now actually a bid by establishment Democrats to retake the party from DSA. The biggest piece of evidence is that the latest Jenny Racicot allegations emerged while there's still time for Platner to drop out and be replaced by an establishment Democrat. But as of right now,

according to a source with knowledge of Platner’s campaign, the candidate, his campaign and Democrat strategist Morris Katz are discussing a plan for him to drop out “only if his replacement shares his left-wing values.”

Katz, a former advisor to Socialist New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s campaign, is described in the Washington Free Beacon as a “26-year-old Nepo Baby Theater Kid.”

. . . But Katz, according to the Post, is recommending that Platner stay in the race. The candidate “appears to be holding the Democratic Party hostage,” the Post said.

“His team is delusional,” the source declared, adding that Platner seems to think “whoever might replace [him] would want a rapist’s endorsement.”

But here's the problem: only Platner can decide to drop out. If he doesn't by next Monday, the Democrats are stuck with him on the ballot -- but the Democrats also want to retake the Senate, and the route to that lies through beating Collins in Maine. If Platner hangs on through next Monday, the Democrats will have to get back on board and re-endorse the rapist.

If Platner stays in -- and there are two ways he can do it, either by insisting on choosing a DSA-aligned successor, or simply refusing to drop out at all -- then the Democrats will need to return to the fold if they have even the remotest hope of retaking the Senate. The DSA will still be on board; Platner is People Like Us. I suspect this will be the end game:

The Democrats will simply fall back on this former line, because they'll have no choice. For Platner, as the saying goes, when you ain't got nothin', you got nothin' to lose.