Wednesday, December 18, 2024

Whither Pelosi?

My view has been that Nancy Pelosi ran the Democrat Party, which means that she also ran the country during the Obama and Biden administrations. Whether she can keep it up after her fall and hip replacement in Europe is a question -- and Trump may have views on that as well. However, it sounds as though she's unwilling to acknowledge the passage of time. According to the New York Post,

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi was donning “very high” heels when she broke her hip in a nasty fall on marble steps at a World War II battlefield site in Luxembourg last Friday — then ostensibly powered through the pain to pose for a group photo.

. .. Pelosi is in her 19th term in the House of Representatives. Despite passing the leadership baton onto House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries over two years ago, she still has pronounced influence within the party.

The San Francisco Democrat is widely speculated to have played a key role in fomenting the pressure campaign against President Biden to drop out of the 2024 race. The two went months without speaking after the mutiny.

More recently, Pelosi reportedly whipped members against Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s (D-NY) bid to serve as the top Democrat on the House Oversight Committee, having backed Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-Va.) for that role instead.

I've been saying here that she was behind Biden's selection of Kamala Harris as his running mate in 2020 -- it certainly wouldn't have happened without her approval -- and I think her plan all along was to conceal the extent of Biden's cognitive disability and replace him with Kamala, via the 25th Amendment if necessary, and preferably after the 2024 election.

Tim Walz was her choice for Kamala's running mate; it looks like Shapiro politely turned down the job in his interview, but had Kamala wanted him, Pelosi would have vetoed the choice. My surmise is that Pelosi also told Newsom, first, not to try to primary Biden, and then, after Joe dropped out, not even to think about replacing Kamala. Since Pelosi created both Kamala and Newsom, she could do this.

Her main problem is that things just didn't turn out as she expected, and factions within the party are beginning to turn against her. Trump's return appears to be a major factor in the political earthquakes happening in Canada, France, Germany, and potentially the UK, and his defeat of Kamala and by implication Pelosi in November won't be without continued impact here. It's hard to avoid thinking the photos of her expression at Kamala's concession speech were an indication of the impact Trumop's victory had on her.

My guess is that recovering from a broken hip at 84 is never easy, and Pelosi has had her last hurrah -- but then, so have her creatures Newsom and Harris. Adam Schiff will be the last to hang on, but by himself, he's as absurd a figure as Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren, and he can't survive for any length of time with Pelosi out of the picture.