Candace Owens And The Tyler Robinson Probable Cause Hearing
As far as I can tell, there seem to be two competing theories for how and why Charlie Kirk was assassinated on Sept. 10, 2025.
The first, of course, is the story we’re hearing in court: Tyler Robinson hated Charlie’s so-called “trans-phobia” and murdered him with a German rifle for ideological reasons. Supporting evidence includes Robinson’s romantic relationship with a trans person, his confession(s), his DNA, his fingerprints, his text messages, ballistics data, bullet shells, video surveillance, eye-witness testimony, and much, much more.
The other theory?
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu — along with Charlie’s (backstabbing) widow Erika Kirk, the French government, Egyptian planes, and traitorous, evil turncoats in Turning Point USA — discovered that Charlie was going to abandon Israel, so they staged a fake shooting in a Satanic pentagon, used Tyler Robinson as a patsy, killed Charlie with an exploding microphone, and then stole the organization he built from the ground up.
The probable cause hearing has gone a long way to discredit the second theory. According to Douglas Murray at The Free Press,
It looks like we may be about to see a conspiracy theory fall apart in real time.
It was clear the day after Charlie Kirk was assassinated in front of a crowd of 3,000 people at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025, who the main suspect was. Surveillance footage showed Tyler Robinson getting down from the rooftop where the fatal shot appeared to have been fired. He had already penned a handwritten confession and a set of texts to his lover admitting the crime. The next day, Robinson’s mother recognized her son from a photograph released by the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and his parents arranged for him to speak to a family friend who was a retired sheriff’s deputy. The family friend convinced Robinson to turn himself in on September 11.
Of all the shocking things that happened in the immediate aftermath, perhaps the most shocking was how hard some online commentators tried to ignore everything about the case. Instead, they blamed almost everyone but Robinson for the shooting. At various times, the accused have included the Israeli government, Egyptian spy planes, Kirk’s colleagues at Turning Point USA, his widow, and people in the crowd that day who were wearing maroon-colored shirts.
Worse still is that two of the people who have diverted attention from the actual effort by prosecutors to put Robinson on trial for Kirk’s murder are Candace Owens and Tucker Carlson, who were once close to Charlie Kirk. For almost a year, both Owens and Carlson attempted to poke every hole they could imagine in the government’s case and point the finger at anyone other than Robinson, whose preliminary hearing began on Monday in a Provo court. A judge will decide whether the evidence against Robinson is strong enough to proceed to a trial. Robinson has not entered a plea in the case.
Two commentators who had previously sided with Owens and Carlson, David Freiheit, who posts as Viva Frei, and Megyn Kelly, have eased their stances and now say that at minimum, prosecutors have established that there's probable cause to send the case to trial, even though this is a "low standard". Other commentators, including Micheal Lebron, who posts as Lionel, and Carlson himself, continue either to support Owens directly or support her right to promote a conspiracy theory.Although David Freiheit in particular has criticized Judge Tony Graf Jr for holding the lengthy probable cause hearing when he could simply have ruled that probable cause exists from the bench, it's plain that bringing the prosecution's evidence out in the public hearing has minimized the effect of the conspiracy theories.
Although Robinson's defense team objected to showing his autopsy report in court, testimony from Utah State Bureau of Investigation Agent David Hull listed his death as a homicide caused by a gunshot wound to the neck.
The testimony included no indication that the forensic pathologist who handled the autopsy found anything inconsistent with that conclusion, ruling out theories involving an exploding microphone.
. . . The video isn't the only evidence that prosecutors say places Robinson at UVU, however. They have surveillance video of a Dodge Challenger coming and going. He allegedly encountered a Spanish Fork police officer who ran his license plates. And his DNA was allegedly recovered from a screwdriver found near the sniper's perch and on the suspected murder weapon, hidden in a "wooded area" just steps away from campus.
. . . Again, investigators alleged they can place Robinson on campus multiple times the day of the murder with video, physical and digital evidence.
They say he arrived in the morning, entered the campus, left, and came back later with different clothes on, following virtually the same path. And they showed a compilation video taken by UVU surveillance cameras showing all of that.
. . . Another conspiracy theory promoted on social media claims that there are "many" young men who decided to wear maroon shirts and light shorts on the day Charlie Kirk was killed, stating "without a clear image, they certainly cannot declare it is Tyler Robinson."
A compilation video played in court shows the suspect in two different outfits — one of which included a maroon T-shirt. In the other, he wore a black, long-sleeved shirt. Prosecutors have alleged Robinson appears to be both of them, and they also have video of the suspect getting out of a gray Dodge Challenger in the school's parking garage — the same kind of vehicle Robinson drove.
. . . The defense tried hard not to allow the public to hear testimony from Twiggs or see text messages, Discord chat logs or the handwritten note Robinson left for Twiggs — all three of which include what appear to be admissions of guilt. Graf allowed that evidence, however,
and the defense showed nothing to indicate there was a foreign conspiracy involved in Kirk's murder.
This is actually all pretty boring stuff. I hope it will have the effect of diverting attention from Owens and Carlson.