Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Something Everyone Else Missed

I had several takeaways from last night's debate. Irrespective of who "won", I thought there was a key subliminal effect -- which one do you not want to watch on the evening news for the next four years? I think Walz was the overwhelming pick in that category, mostly because of how he acted when he wasn't the one talking. I had a hard time finding stills of this on the web, because I think everyone missed it.

While Vance spoke, Walz would screw his face into a frown with the corners of his mouth turned so exaggeratedly down, surrounded by his puffy cheeks, that he looked like a Muppet. In fact, looking around the web, this seems to be a common expression the guy has when his face is in repose.

Then, for the whole time Vance spoke, he'd whip out his pen and scribble furiously. You'd think that he was about to come up with the precise mot juste that he'd use deftly to skewer Vance in a perfect, well-timed riposte -- but it never happened. He'd just revert to the same old bloviation when his turn came around again.

I think he did this either because he decided, or his handlers told him, that this is what you're supposed to do on the middle school debate team, look like you're busily coming up with points to refute your opponent -- but tellingly, he never looked down at what he'd scribbled when it was his turn to speak and rebut. The scribbling was all for show.

The contrast with Vance couldn't have been greater. While Walz spoke, Vance would turn toward him, listening respectfully, only occasionally glancing over to the camera with a twinkle in his eye. There was a telling moment after the debate when Walz and his wife went out for a pizza, and a reeporter asked him to clarify what he meant when he said he was friends with school shooters.

I have a feeling poor Walz knew what he was in for:

Kamala Harris “throws around F-bombs” and constantly berated her staff when she was California Attorney General, according to a shocking report.

An unearthed 2019 op-ed from professor Terry McAteer published in California newspaper The Union describes the “eye-opening” month his son Gregory spent as an intern for Harris, now the presumptive Democratic nominee for president.

McAteer, a Democrat with generational political ties to the party, claimed his son was subjected to a “side of Kamala Harris which the general public does not know”.

“Harris vocally throws around ‘F-bombs’ and other profanity constantly in her berating of staff and others,” McAteer wrote.

The post-mortem in the Harris camp is going to look something like this:

Vance couldn’t believe his luck. The Republican vice-presidential nominee was only too pleased to play the game that he and the governor were commonsensical, bipartisan people. Walz and Vance kept saying how much they “actually” agreed with each other on housing, jobs and support for families. It was sweet, in a way, to see a Democrat and a Republican spar lightly with each other, harking back to a more gentle era B.T. – Before Trump. But, “C’mon man, give me a break!” Joe Biden might have roared, if he were still awake. There is too much at stake.

. . . Then, in the final minutes, Walz nailed Vance on his willingness to sacrifice democracy for his boss. With any luck this will be the soundbite of the night. “Did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?” Walz asked. “Tim, I’m focused on the future,” Vance dodged. “I think you’ve got a really clear choice on who is going to honour that democracy, and who is going to honour Donald Trump,” Walz concluded. But by then, a supremely confident Vance was calling his new buddy by his first name.

But the bottrom line isn't who said what, or who had the best zinger. The bottom line is that the public overwhelmingly decided it didn't want Walz, the frowning Muppet, on the evening news for the next four years.

Kamala has already signaled that poor Walz is going to be the scapegoat here -- but I don't think she ever seriously wanted to win the election. She wanted a few months of five-star hotel rooms, fawning sycophants, and hobnobbing with billionaires, and that would be plenty. Then she'll have the ghostwritten book deal, the talk show circuit, the six-figure speaking fees, the parties in the Hamptons, and she can blame it all on poor Tim.

Tuesday, October 1, 2024

She Knows They're Losing, And She's Setting Walz Up As The Scapegoat

Monday, Kamala made a remarkable effort to put distance between herself and Tampon Tim:

Vice President Kamala Harris revealed Monday that she suffered from insomnia after President Biden endorsed her as his successor — and that she was sleep-deprived the morning she picked her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz.

Harris, 59, told “All The Smoke” hosts Matt Barnes and Stephen Jackson that she made her “gut” decision to select Walz after being unable to sleep much the night before, waking up early that Tuesday in Washington and using cooking to calm her mind.

“From the time that the president called me and told me he wasn’t running, I mean, it’s just like everything was in speedy, speedy motion, and I was not sleeping so well,” Harris told the basketball stars, who both played for the Harris-supported Golden State Warriors.

“And that one morning I just, I mean, I had, I don’t know, a few hours’ sleep — and I, you know, I like to sleep. I just got up,” she said. “I was like — so I just went out and got a pork roast and started marinating it.”

One thing that doesn't ring true is the bit aabout marinating the pork roast -- you can bet she and Emhoff have a private chef. But the business of being sleep-deprived? Remember yesterday's post and the quote about ". . . she comes up to the students she mentioned her score to and started venting about how she was distracted and didn't have her coffee and this and that"? That sounds just like what she said to lay off the blame for Walz onto sleep deprivation.

What this does suggest, though, is that she's paying attention to what's being said, at least about Walz. Ever since she announced her choice, the consensus has been this, happy-face aside:

In the context of the Electoral College, Harris’ choice could backfire. While Walz’s Minnesota is safely Democratic, Shapiro presides over the most important swing state in the 2024 election. Although many pundits see Walz as especially appealing to rural and working-class voters, the evidence suggests otherwise. Compared to Biden’s 2020 performance in Minnesota, Walz received the same share of the vote overall (52%), and he did no better than Biden among rural and small-town voters, working-class voters, and Republican identifiers while running four points behind Biden among Independents.

. . . It’s hard to believe that Shapiro’s presence on the ticket wouldn’t have helped Harris in a state she must win. She will have to hope that Walz’s midwestern appeal will end up putting Pennsylvania as well as Michigan and Wisconsin in her column. But if she loses Pennsylvania by a hair, and with it her Electoral College majority, she will have cause to regret her decision.

As of now, respectable polls have Trump ahead in Pennsylvania, and the Michigan Democrat Senate candidate, Elissa Slotkin, has acknowledged that Kamala is "under water" there. It's become pretty plan that any boost Walz was going to give the campaign in those states hasn't materialized, while by last week, according to Rasmussen, Kamala had only a 3% lead over Trump in Minnesota, so Walz isn't even helping her in his home state.

But there's another puzzling wrinkle: Afer Kamala was nominated, it was agreed that her clearest path to an Electoral College victory would be to secure Pennmsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin -- although even Nate Silver was saying she had to win all three. As these prospects have faded, a second potential path emerged involving North Carolina and Georgia.

But wait a moment -- didn't Hurricane Helene just deal severe blows to those specific states? They're on everyone's list of the battlegrounds, and Trump has already been in Valdosta, GA, personally distributing aid and meeting with figures like Franklin Graham:

Trump, who as president faced criticism for his response to Hurricane Maria, on Sunday criticized Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris for not being in Washington over the weekend and not immediately traveling to the storm-ravaged region. He accused Biden of “sleeping” at his beach house, suggesting he was not focused on the recovery effort, and he attacked Harris for fundraising and campaigning in California and Nevada.

Trump on Monday traveled to Georgia to receive a briefing on the damage and distribute relief supplies.

So far, Kamala has issued no definite plans to visit the affected areas. This is especially puzzling, since North Carolina and Georgia are specifically cited as key to Kamala's Plan B for the Electoral College, while Trump, fully aware of the free media he gets from personal visits, is making hay in just those markets.

I'm getting the impression that Walz himself is losing interest as well.

We'll have to see how this shakes out after tronight's debate, but I'm beginning to get a sense that the Harris campaign, and Kamala in particular, have decided not to waste much further effort. In fact, I think they're counting on Walz to blow the debate so they can put the blame on him.

Monday, September 30, 2024

"Honestly? I Believe She Was Born That Way."

Trump's manner in this clip isn't his normal bombast. He pauses and gives something of a personal aside: "Honestly? I believe she was born that way." He goes on, with clearly deliberate words: "There's something wrong with Kamala, and I just don't know what it is, but there is definitely something missing -- and you know what? Every. Body. Knows it."

Trump isn't mincing words here, he's the classic truthteller, Holden Caulfield in The Catcher in the Rye, James Dean playing Caleb Trask in East of Eden. This reminded me of the much fact-checked claim that Kamala scored a 78 in a Howard University IQ test (click on the image for a larger version):

Even though the fact-checkers insist there's no way to verify this claim, and anyhow she went on to law school and passed the bar exam, two statements ring true: "Then she started laughing like a psychopath. I thought there is no way this bitch graduates."

No way she graduates -- and certainly no way she gets a law degree and passes the bar. But strangely enough, it happened, and she's laughed like a psychopath ever since. But as we come up to the vice presidential debate, it's worth revisiting the thinking in this facebook post from September 12:

This paragraph farther down, I think, is a suggestion of how even the Democrats view Kamala's prospects:

Walz['s] selection shows just how DOA even the other Democrats believe Harris' campaign to be. Of course they will never publicly admit they believe she's going to lose, and likely lose badly, so they will publicly say the opposite, but not a one of them was going to hitch their political futures to what they believe to be a dead horse.

This is exactly what I thought of Walz selection fom the start. I think it's begun to sink in even on Walz himself that he's been seen as a joke fom the start, and this is likely to come out in the debate:

Tim Walz is telling people he’s just as nervous about facing JD Vance as he was the Sunday afternoon in August when he warned Kamala Harris in his running mate interview that he was a bad debater.

Maybe more nervous, according to multiple people who’ve spoken to him.

And the pressure is even higher, when for the first time in modern campaign history, the vice presidential debate Tuesday is likely to be the last marquee event before Election Day. With many voters still saying they don’t know enough about Harris, it could be up to Walz to help convince them to trust a vice president he barely knew himself before she picked him.

Meanwhile,

President Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States of America, will visit Valdosta, Georgia to receive a briefing on the devastation of Hurricane Helene, facilitate the distribution of relief supplies, and deliver remarks to the press on Monday, September 30, 2024, at 2:00 p.m. EDT.

In contrast,

Vice President Kamala Harris is under pressure to visit states ravaged by Hurricane Helene, as former President Donald Trump's campaign has said he plans to visit storm-battered Georgia on Monday.

. . . Trump has been quick to announce his plans to visit storm-ravaged Valdosta in Georgia and has criticized the Biden administration's response to the hurricane, accusing the president of "sleeping" at his beach house.

. . . Harris plans to visit the affected region "as soon as it is possible without disrupting emergency response operations," the unnamed official said, per Reuters.

Something's definitely missing.

Sunday, September 29, 2024

The Deepest Dive Yet Into The Springfield Haitians

I've at least got to give Reak Ckear Politics some credit for running this piere by Benjamin Roberts, associate editor at something called IM-1776, Heartland Betrayed: Down the Corruption Rabbit Hole: On the ground in Springfield, Ohio. Roberts spent a week in Springfield knocking on doors, talking to residents, and trying to interview local officials. as well as other business and NGO leadership.

The result confirms the picture that's beguin to emerge from my own posts on Springfield, Aurora, and Charleroi:

My investigation discovered a long rotten beam extending from the Mayor down to NGOs, pastors, corporations, and local mediocrities looking to make a fast buck. Everyone is on the take. And Springfield is not an outlier. It is a standard example of local partnerships with federal and corporate resettlement programs working together to profit themselves.

The perverse incentive structures of these institutions makes them incapable of resisting population replacement. The citizens are simply not lucrative enough to leave alone. As things stand, nothing will stop without concerted intervention. The charities, churches, and city officials in Springfield are alien officials ruling over a subject population, robber-barons without charisma or mystique, fishing for pennies in the sewers they have made of their hometowns.

His account sheds more light on local bad actors like Mayor Rob Rue, slumlord George Ten, and sweatshop employer Ross McGregor, but it also makes plain that they're operating within a much larger, shadowy structure of federal and state subsidies. also enabled by churches, including the USCCB, and respectable NGOs like United Way. This will take a lot more investigation:

Federal monies are disbursed through contracts, grants, direct payments, loans and other channels in which entities like the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services are pass-through bodies. Executive Director David Smiddy of the Warder Literacy Center [an NGO] admitted to being funded by this department, but more granular details are hard to determine. Within a labyrinth of organizations, obfuscation is the norm. Ohio Department of Development. Ohio Housing Finance Agency. Springfield Metropolitan Housing Authority. Minority Business Services. Neighborhood Impact Division… The names go on and on. Entities feed into other entities to create a twisted maze.

Roberts brings up the specific question of how the Haitians can get cars, especially when they're often unlicensed and apparently don't know how to drive.

[A] local tow company owner is charting losses of $5,000 a month as a direct result of Haitian crashes. At first glance, one would imagine this to be a boon for his business. However, because Haitians are unlicensed, insurance does not pay out to the owner. Furthermore, almost none of the drivers return to salvage their vehicles, and as a result, due to regulations, tow company lots fill up.

. . . Almost all of the Haitians apparently drive Honda Odysseys. They all bank with PNC, many have cars licensed by Trust Auto, and the most common insurance provider is Acceptance. Who is facilitating this? Who is filing the paperwork and opening these accounts for a community that can’t speak English? So far, I have not been able to uncover much in that direction. It is too peculiar to be assumed to be a coincidence, however.

Another question is who pays the rent on the slum units owned by Mayhor Rue and George Ten:

Rob Rue is the owner of Littleton Properties of Springfield LLC., which owns six rental properties in Springfield. Going door-to-door, I confirmed that at least four of these properties are rented to Haitian migrants. These tenants are not just nuclear families, but multi-generational households including anywhere from ten to fifteen people crammed into one half of a duplex. It is not clear who is paying their rent.

What's been suggested in other reports I've seen is that the slumlords aren't renting by the uinit, as would happen in a conventional lease or tenancy agreement, but they're being paid directly by some outside agency on a per-person basis, which encourages overcrowding as well as encouraging the slumlords to drive out conventional per-unit tenants. Roberts refers to a local pastor and homeless advocate whom he identifies only as Barron:

I interviewed a recently homeless woman, one of many who frequents the soup kitchen and a camp Barron services (comprised almost entirely of recent homeless driven out by rising rents), whose husband holds down a factory job. Her and her friends told me that locals are “pushed out to remodel, rents go from $800 to $1800, and then they move Haitians there.”

A particular problem is the churches, which appear to benefit from federal money for Haitians at the expense of neglecting the native-born poor of the community:

[T]he local government may actually be the least compromised of all the bad actors operating in Springfield. The churches, entrusted to care for their neighbors, have decided to interpret this edict by siding with recent arrivals.

An example is the Society of Saint Vincent de Paul, a Catholic voluntary organization which issued a press release in response to citizen backlash against their role in the migrant crisis in which they acknowledged that “SVdP volunteers and interpreter[sic]/navigators assist these neighbors [migrants] with tools for independent living. SVdP conduct(s) legal pro-bono immigration clinics. Whenever possible, SVdP navigators help Haitians seek waivers of… application fees.”

Meanwhile a new epidemic of homelessness is emerging as a result of skyrocketing rents, rapacious landlord behavior, and general impoverishment. There are plenty of grandmothers in Springfield who could use a navigator at the DMV, and poor Americans who could use a fee waiver or pro-bono legal assistance, but SVdP has different priorities.

This is clearly an important contribution to coverage of thr quasi-legal immigrant invasion, but it actually provides just a set of pointers for even more detailed investigation.

Saturday, September 28, 2024

What About The Haitians In Charleroi. PA?

The odd thing about the Haitians in Temporary Protective Status is that wherever they turn up, there is one standard corporate-media news story. Charleroi, PA, a most unlikely place for this to happen, is another instance, per CBS News:

The influx of immigrants in Charleroi has divided residents over whether or not they are a welcome addition to their community.

Former president Donald Trump put a spotlight on the topic during a rally last week in Arizona, sharing how the population of Haitian migrants in the town had grown by 2,000%.

"Charleroi, what a beautiful name, but it's not so beautiful now," Trump said.

KDKA-TV first reported in March how we were told the immigrant population in Charleroi has grown by more than 2000% in the last two years. The majority of students in the local school district who need assistance learning English are from Haiti. The district has spent $400,000 on ELL teachers and an interpreter. Trump touched on that impact during his speech.

We see all the right notes, Trump stirring up trouble, residents divided, strain on resources, many locals deplorable:

"You can't even walk through the town without being next to them or them pestering you about something," life-long Charleroi resident Raymond Pappas said of the immigrants.

When asked why he had a problem standing next to immigrants, Pappas said, "Well it's not really a problem it's just that they make you feel uncomfortable."

Pappas is not alone in his belief. Off-camera, a number of neighbors told us they were either reluctant or refused to go downtown because of the immigrant population. Some said they were planning to leave the city soon, while others said the immigrants should go back to where they came from.

But the local politicians and law enforcement officials beg to disagree. Imagine that, sounds just like Springfield, OH!

Kristin R. Hopkins, the president of the Charleroi Borough, said the borough expresses "deep concern" over the representation of their community's challenges.

"Trump chose to exploit our town for political purposes, using divisive rhetoric to unfairly target the Haitian immigrant community," Hopkins wrote.

She says the city has seen a population rise for the first time in decades. She says Haitian immigrants have been "unjustly scapegoated" for many of Charleroi's problems.

"Rather than acknowledging the real economic issues the town is facing, some have chosen to unfairly target the Haitian community, judging the entire group based on misinformation and fear of outsiders," Hopkins said, adding welcoming immigrants is part of the town's history and that the focus should be about solutions, like what should be down about the job loss at the Anchor-Hocking plant.

MSN brings in another stock character, Charleroi Regional Police Chief Chad Zelinsky, who denies the Hatians are a problem:

Mr. Zelinsky is adamant that he and his team have seen no increase in crime in the half-decade during which the town’s population has swelled by up to 50% due to immigration — largely from Haiti, but also from West African and Asian countries. In fact, the chief compares today’s situation favorably to a few years ago, when opioid-addicted “zombies” were more common.

And oddly enough, just like in Springfield, he's backed up by another local pol:

Former Charleroi Mayor Nancy Ellis went further. She described Charleroi’s immigrants as model neighbors — more reliable, in fact, than the town’s long-time residents. They’re first in line to pay taxes, she said. As if on cue, while we chatted multiple Haitians dutifully showed up to pay parking fines.

Most striking of all, Ms. Ellis said (and others confirmed), this year the town’s immigrants organized clean-up efforts for Charleroi’s Memorial Day celebrations: “No white people showed up.”

So the story seems to be, just like in Springfield, the town fathers -- er, parents -- chose to bring in a new proletariat to replace the old one, and the new proletariat is turning out to be better than the old deplorables. who are lazy, ungrateful, racist, drug-addled zombies.

But there's another narrarive lurking in the background:

How did [the Haitians] end up in Charleroi? It is, indeed, implausible that they chose to come to the small Pennsylvania town on their own. This isn’t the result of people coming to America and ending up in a town where they know somebody.

Rather, what you discover in listening to people on the ground is that they end up in Charleroi—or countless other American cities like the high-profile case of Springfield, Ohio—because of a sophisticated operation that involves local businesses that want low-wage labor, “staffing agencies” that not only have access to migrant labor but also frequently source them housing and transportation to the job sites, and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) that help connect the staffing agencies with newly arrived migrants.

It is not surprising that a sophisticated sourcing ecosystem would arise to connect low-wage migrants with employers needing low-wage workers. Indeed, such a system is a necessity because America has adopted—on a bipartisan basis—what we might call the “Jobs Americans Won’t Do” theory of labor policy. The theory argues that our economy is filled with tens of millions of jobs that are inherently low productivity and, therefore, too low paying to attract Americans, necessitating the importation of a foreign workforce to do them for us.

. . ., “They say ‘we can’t find people to work.’ Well, that’s a half truth,” Andy Armbruster, a lifelong native of Charleroi said. “There’s people who would work if you paid them the going wage for the work. But they want to pay less and so they ended up getting involved with these agencies that bring in these workers.”

. . . [A] Charleroi business owner invited CBS News into his factory to see the work being done by migrant workers. Though only a few seconds of video is shown in the CBS report, the main task one sees workers doing in the video is manually moving bowls of food from one conveyor belt onto another. It’s not difficult to imagine automation playing a greater role in that process.

The piece argues that

a job traditionally done by low-wage or slave labor can be transformed by cutting-edge technological innovation at the center of 21st century great power competition.

. . . Productivity increases won’t change the nature of every low-skill job. But in a higher-wage economy with greater income to pay for low-skill services, even the service sector sees its wages go up. That’s why it was possible 50 years ago for a bartender and a maid to own their own home, raise their children in a safe neighborhood, and, ultimately, retire with dignity. Is our economy providing that same opportunity today?

Immigration policy is not just a question of economics. It has tremendous implications on our culture, our national mores, and our ability to provide dignity and basic services to our citizens. What is being done to these communities is a tragedy, and it is an avoidable one.

But there's another parallel that goes unspoken in this piece: it mentions the "staffing agencies" amd NGOs (though not the government subsidies) that move the immigrants into unlikely places in the US -- but at least in Springfield, local politicians are apparently either profiting directly by renting to the immigrants, or they're getting payoffs to enable the situation, or both. The story doesn't get that far with Charleroi, but I have at least a feeling that something's hinky, as it is in Springfield.

Friday, September 27, 2024

Springfield, OH And Gov DeWine

I was intrigued to read this piece:

The GOP governor of Ohio and many pro-migration media outlets insist the federal government’s huge Haitian migration into the city of Springfield is legal.

“They are there legally,” Gov. Mike DeWine wrote in a September 20, op-ed for the New York Times. “I am saddened by how they and others continue to repeat claims that lack evidence and disparage the legal migrants living in Springfield.”

Yesterday I linked to a story that refers to Haitians, Venezuelans, and others as "parole migrants". I've been calling them "quasi-legal". One of the programs by which they're in the country is Termporary Protected Status, which accordinbg to Wikipedia

is given by the United States government to eligible nationals of designated countries, as determined by the Secretary of Homeland Security, who are present in the United States. In general, the Secretary of Homeland Security may grant temporary protected status to people already present in the United States who are nationals of a country experiencing ongoing armed conflict, an environmental disaster, or any temporary or extraordinary conditions that would prevent the foreign national from returning safely and assimilating into their duty [sic]. Temporary protected status allows beneficiaries to live and, in some cases, work in the United States for a limited amount of time. As of March 2022, there are more than 400,000 foreign nationals in Temporary Protected Status.

The entry goes on to say,

The 2021 United States Supreme Court case Sanchez v. Mayorkas affirmed that temporary protected status only granted legal status to remain in the country and was not equivalent to lawful admission into the country. Thus, those immigrants that had entered the country unlawfully but had received temporarily protected status are ineligible to apply for permanent resident status simply through virtue of their temporary protected status.

Thus Gov DeWine's remarks are misleading -- the Haitians here under Temporary Protected Status aren't "legal migrants". They're here under a temporary provision that can be revoked any time, for instance, if a new administration declares that Haiti is not a country for which its migrants are eligible. This raises the puzzling question of why Gov DeWine, a Republican, supports the presence of so many Haitians in Springfield and appears to be so sensitive when the issue comes up in media.

Although there's less documentation for Haitians eating pets and protected waterfowl, troubling incidents have definitely come to light:

Haitians causing traffic accidents in Springfield have also been a widely reported problem, most recently here:

Springfield has attracted national media attention in recent weeks over reports that some of the Haitians were stealing and eating pets and waterfowl, but residents say a more pressing issue has been their reckless driving.

. . . One Springfield resident estimated that there are four to five accidents a day caused by the Haitian immigrants, who are somehow able to drive around town without understanding basic traffic laws.

. . . In December, Springfield grandmother Kathy Heaton was struck and killed by a Haitian immigrant driving with an expired license while she was collecting her garbage cans. Prosecutors declined to charge the 38-year-old driver, the Post reported.

. . . [Neighboring Tremont City, OH Police Chief Chad] Duncan told the Blaze that the immigrants are often not licensed to operate vehicles, but Springfield appears to be protecting them from facing any real consequences for their reckless driving.

. . . Duncan told Rosas about a recent traffic stop in Tremont City involving a Haitian national going 44 mph in a 25 mph zone.

“He didn’t even have a license,” he said, adding that it was the second time over a two-week period that he pulled the driver over so he had the individual’s car towed.

Duncan told Rosas that he didn’t think Springfield police would have towed the vehicle in that instance, and speculated why he thought that was the case.

“If you get two misdemeanors, you are subject to be deported,” he explained.

In this post, I covered how Springfield's Republican mayor and others in the city establishment are profiting from the Haitians by renting slum housing to them and employing them in sweatshops. Chief Duncan speculates here that the Springfield police have been told not to arrest the Haitians for traffic offenses, because it could get them deported, which would cut into the incomes of the mayor and his cronies. This would also explain why the Springfield police chief has been so quick to minimize the Haitian problem with the media.

On September 12, I noted that once Trump surfaced the Sprinfgfield Haitian problem at the debate, Gov DeWine suddenly sent the Ohio State Highway Patrol to Springfield to help solve the traffic problem -- but Chief Duncan of the neighboring town noted another part of the story:

Duncan also said that his access to Springfield’s police radio frequency was cut off after the city was thrust into the media spotlight over the Haitian influx.

“We were able to hear them on the radio. They have decided to go silent. We don’t know what’s going on in the city,” Duncan said. “That happened the day they brought the State Troopers in to help them out.”

When asked why he believes Springfield Police shut off communications, Duncan speculated that it was to avoid accountability for their actions.

“When no one can hear what you’re saying, they don’t know what you’re doing so they don’t have to answer for it,” he explained.

So what's up with Gov DeWine? A problem like the huge quantities of immigrants coming in under Temporary Protected Status wouldn't exist unless powerful people wanted it. In the case of Springfield, these powerful people are Republicans, and they have the Republican governor covering their backs.

Thursday, September 26, 2024

"Trump Should Be Running Away With the Election. Why Isn’t He?"

An essay by Oiver Wiseman with the above title is at The Free Press, tellingly limked at Real Clear Politics:

A lot has changed since [July 15] —most importantly Trump’s opponent—and rather than holding an unassailable lead, he is in the middle of a dogfight for the White House. What happened? Part of the story is of a Democratic Party pulling itself together, ditching its senescent candidate, and falling into line behind Kamala Harris. But the other part concerns Donald Trump himself, and the campaign he has chosen to run.

I dom't think it's a coincidence at all that Real Clear Politics likes this essay -- it chraracterizes the current campaign as a "dogfight for the White House" almost entirely bsased on the RCP poll aggregates that mix garbage polls with a few respectaable ones and come up with averages that put Kamala slightly ahead, which justifies the "razor thin" conventional wisdom about the current state of the election. If anything, current reports show visible movement in Trump's direction, on top of the near-universal observation that Trump outperforms the polls on Election Day. For instance,

Former President Donald Trump has surged three points in Pennsylvania since July, while Vice President Kamala Harris has dropped one point, according to a poll.

. . . Trump registered at 43 percent in a July Susquehanna poll conducted from July 22-28, as the Hill noted. Harris, at 47 percent in July, had a four-point edge on Trump, while independent Robert F Kennedy had seven percent of the response.

However, the lead has vanished as Trump, who was endorsed by Kennedy following the independent’s departure from the race, surges heading into the home stretch of the election.

But Wiseman continues,

And yet the presidential race is a toss-up. . . . Is it because she is getting a very easy ride from the media? Okay, that may be part of it. With only a handful of interviews and some help from a sympathetic press corps, Harris has shed her image as the most unpopular vice president in recent history and rebranded as a viable candidate.

But more to the point, Trump has allowed her to rebrand, offering no consistent critique of the country’s eminently critique-able vice president. He flopped so badly in his first debate with her he is now running scared from a rematch.

Again, we're seeing the same imputation that Trump "flopped" the debate that we saw from Sean Trende and Karl Rove, and my answer continues to be that the single memorable line from the night was Trump's:

In Springfield, they are eating the dogs. The people that came in, they are eating the cats. They’re eating – they are eating the pets of the people that live there.

This claim was immediately denounced by the same media that gave Kamala her free ride as a "hoax", while it never took up the hoaxes that Kamala herself raised in the debate, such as the Charlottesville "very fine people" hoax. But as I've been saying, the eating-the-cats meme has gone viral, for a key reason: it calls out the actual damage the surge of quasi-legal immigrants with work permits has done. This is in fact a policy issue that Trump has continued to pursue:

“Get ready to leave,” Trump told Fox News when he was asked what message he would say to the more than 1 million parole migrants. “Especially quickly if they’re criminals, get ready to leave because you’re going to be going out real fast,” he added.

"Parole migrants" covers several categories of quasi-legals who are under various types of parole or protected status but are not formally "legal".

Many of the job-seeking parole migrants fly in from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Ukraine, and elsewhere via commercial flights. These “CHNV” parole migrants get two-year visas to take jobs in the United States while separated from their families at home — much like President George W. Bush’s failed 2001 “Any Willing Worker” plan.

Many other parole migrants and families cross the southern border after getting quasi-legal approval via the “CBP One” cellphone app.

The result is a flood of hard-working, compliant, wage-cutting, rent-spiking workers into Americans’ towns and cities, such as Springfield, Ohio, and New York City.

These parole migrants will work in sweatshop conditions, forced to kick back some of their low pay to "employment agencies" that sponsor them. They're compliant, because if they lose their jobs, they'll be sent back. It appears that the parole migrant policies stem from Biden executve orders that can be canceled as soon as Trump comes into office. It should be noted, though, that a debate-team style discussion of these policies will simply put people to sleep. Wiseman seems to miss this entirely:

Instead of working hard to convince voters Harris is unfit for the top job, the Trump campaign has wasted too much time on two things: stupid stuff and bad stuff.

. . . Second, the bad. . . . Indulging an unproven, sinister fantasy about pet-eating Haitian migrants in Ohio.

Wiseman concludes,

He had the chance to . . . rise above partisanship and lawfare and political violence and occupy the center ground of American politics with a pitch focused on the economy and immigration, all while hammering Harris for her radical past positions and the fact she was likely part of the Biden cover-up, pretending he was competent enough to run for reelection.

I don[t understand. Lawfare and political violence have been tools of the other side -- Fani Willis and Jack Smith on one hand; Thomas Crooks and Ryan Routh on the other. So far, it appears that Trump has defeated both the lawfare and political violence, and as far as I can tell, he's neither unleashed federal and state prosecutors against Kamala nor dispatched assassination squads. Why suggest he's doing these things?

But by the same token, he's been making just what Wiseman thinks he ought to be making, "a pitch focused on the economy and immigration, all while hammering Harris for her radical past positions". The eating the pets meme is, after all, focused on immigration, while he's been running ad after ad showing Kamala herself advocating her radical past positions. What else could he be doing?

What seems to be at the heart of the complaints I've seen recently from Karl Rove and now Oliver Wiseman is that Trump isn't turning into Mitt Romney, some sort of boring pretty-boy non-partisan centrist. He's doing just fine as Donald Trump.